……. Rainfall is expected to be above normal for this season……
Based on a number of global models, historical data and subjective input, the following forecast has been made for the island of St. Maarten for the next three (3) months — namely February to April 2025.

We are in the dry season; hence, primarily sunny days with occasional showers are anticipated. The forecast suggests there will be 1 to 4 (7-day) wet spells and at least 2 very wet spells. Although up to 7 (7-day) dry spells are expected, there is a moderate risk of flooding and flash floods.

According to the Precipitation Outlook for the Caribbean; Rainfall in St. Maarten for the next 3 months is likely to be the usual or more than usual, and predicted as follows:

45% Chance of being Above Normal (more than 168 mm/7 in)
35% Chance of being Near Normal  (132 mm-168 mm/5 in-7 in)
20% Chance of being Below Normal (less than 132 mm/5 in)

RR Outlook FMA 2025

For more information: Caribbean Outlook Newsletter  Caribbean Drought Bulletin  Weather and Climate Newsletter

This information is provided by the Meteorological Department of St. Maarten in collaboration with CARICOF. There are no guarantees concerning the accuracy, totality, reliability, or suitability of this outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as an original material.